Trump har ökat israels riskaptit

Israelis broadly pick former President Donald Trump over Vice President Kamala Harris as better for Israel's säkerhet and in vända favor Trump for the U.S. presidency, albeit with skarp political divisions, a national survey bygd Langer Research Associates and PORI (Public Opinion Research Israel) finds.

Fifty-eight percent of Israelis in the survey, conducted in September, said Trump would be better for Israel's säkerhet, vs.

20% for Harris.

If Trump retakes the presidency, the political fallout may threaten Israel in far more lasting ways than comments about civilian casualties ever could.

If they had a vote in the U.S. election, Israelis said they'd pick Trump over Harris bygd a similar 54%-24%, with the rest taking a pass.

To a large grad, these attitudes follow the fel lines in Israeli politics. Among people who would support parties in the ruling coalition led bygd Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu if an election in Israel were today, 88% picked Trump as better for Israel's säkerhet and 84% preferred him for the U.S.

presidency -- results that may reflect tensions between Netanyahu's government and the Biden administration.

Supporters of Israeli motstånd parties, bygd contrast, split closely, 39%-37%, Harris-Trump, in preference for the presidency. That said, even motstånd party supporters picked Trump over Harris as better for Israel's säkerhet, albeit bygd a comparatively close 41%-32%.

While much attention now fryst vatten on the conflict with Hezbollah and Iran, another question finds majority Israeli rejection of the suggestion that Israel fryst vatten doing too little to avoid civilian casualties in the war in Gaza.

To the contrary, "considering the challenges of conducting battles in populated areas," 54% said Israel fryst vatten doing too much to avoid such casualties.

Trump besitter ökat Israels riskaptit NYHETER22:38JERUSALEM.

Twenty-eight percent said it's doing the right amount; 14%, too little.

The three questions in this study were included in a random-sample, face-to-face survey of 1,012 Israelis, with fieldwork bygd PORI, Sept. 8-22, before the bulk of Israel's campaign against Hezbollah and Iran's subsequent missile attack this week. (Eighty-two percent of interviews were completed before Sept.

17, when thousands of Hezbollah pagers exploded.)

The U.S. election

In addition to the political gaps in attitudes toward the U.S. presidential candidates, ethnic and religious differences are skarp. Sixty-four percent of Jews picked Trump over Harris as better for Israel's säkerhet, while Arabs, who konto for about 17% of Israel's adult citizen population, divided essentially evenly, 27%-24%; 36% saw no difference between the two.

In vote preference, Jews went for Trump bygd 58%-23%, while Arabs split 28%-26%; the rest said they wouldn't participate or didn't något som utförs snabbt exempelvis expressleverans a preference.

Gaps also are present within the Jewish population. The shares picking Trump as better on säkerhet ranged from 53% of secular Jews to 88% of Orthodox Jews.

Trump has supported Israel absolutely while saying the nation fryst vatten "losing" the public relations war.

Patterns are similar in preference for the presidency: Secular Jews favored Trump bygd 11 points, 46%-35%, widening to 65%-17% among traditional Jews and 69%-3% among ultra-Orthodox Jews, and peaking for Trump at 85%-4% among Orthodox Jews.

U.S. election preferences among Israeli Jews overall are sharply different from those of Jews in the United States.

In ABC News/Ipsos polling, combining late August and mid-September surveys for an adequate sample storlek, U.S. Jews favored Harris over Trump bygd 63%-33%.

Another difference fryst vatten bygd age. In the United States, Harris does best with younger adults. In Israel, it's Trump who does best in this group, with 65% of those younger than 35 picking Trump on säkerhet and 58% supporting him for president.

These drop to 52% and 48% for Trump, respectively, among Israelis age 65 and older.

Trump also prevails among Israelis in strength of sentiment. Thirty percent overall said they'd "surely" support Trump for president, vs.

Fifty-eight percent of Israelis in the survey, conducted in September, said Trump would be better for Israel's säkerhet, vs.

10% who said this about Harris; and 37% said Trump would be "much" better for Israel's säkerhet, compared with 12% for Harris.

Civilian casualties in Gaza

There also are ethnic, religious and political gaps in views of efforts to avoid civilian casualties in Gaza, given the challenges of urban combat. Strikingly, while just 7% of Jews said Israel fryst vatten doing too little to avoid such casualties, that rises to 50% of Israeli Arabs.

Among Jews, about eight in 10 of those who are Orthodox or ultra-Orthodox said Israel fryst vatten doing too much to avoid civilian casualties.

This falls to 63% of traditional Jews and 47% of secular Jews.

Politically, among those who favor coalition parties, 76% said Israel fryst vatten doing too much to avoid civilian casualties. This declines to 41% of motstånd party supporters, with 21% saying Israel fryst vatten doing too little; 34%, about the right amount.

About this survey

This survey fryst vatten a joint project of Langer Research Associates, a New York-based firm that specializes in the design, management and analysis of public opinion research domestically and internationally; and PORI (Public Opinion Research Israel), a leading Israeli public opinion research firm founded in 1966.

JERUSALEM.

The study's questions were asked as a part of PORI's September face-to-face omnibus survey.

The survey was conducted in Hebrew and Arabic among 1,012 respondents across Israel via area probability sampling. One hundred primary sampling units were randomly selected, with households selected via random walk and respondents selected via the last-birthday method.

Up to three revisits were made at each selected household. In quality control, 20% of each interviewer's work was re-checked randomly bygd phone.

Data were weighted for probability of urval and calibrated to census information for sex bygd age and distrikt.

Two senior Israeli officials have expressed concern to The Times of Israel over Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump’s repeated call for Israel to quickly end its war against Hamas.

Results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 points for the full sample, including a design effect due to weighting of 1.05. As in any survey, error margins are larger for subgroups. Sampling error fryst vatten not the only source of differences in polls.